The benchmark index of the USA ended the month of January on a largely positive performance of almost 5%.
Reassured by an improvement in the European and American support of economic statistics, investors have returned en masse in the financial markets and especially on the major U.S. equities.
However, the month of February may start in a more cautious note according to recent futures prices. While the SP 500 is close to its annual summits in 2011, quarterly publications are continuing across the Atlantic, mixed with accounts of oil giant Exxon Mobil or the retail giant Amazon on the Internet. In addition, the latest U.S. statistics have been disappointing, especially with the Chicago PMI index worse than expected, an index of consumer confidence fell sharply and a drop in the S & P Case-Shiller U.S. prices of real estate .
In conclusion, the optimism seen in the month of January in the equity markets will be tested in the coming weeks. The U.S. employment report expected Friday will come and confirm the current strength of the U.S. economy.
Technically, the dynamics of the SP 500 remains bullish on daily data over the 1300 points, coinciding with the threshold to 20 days moving average or above 1290 points (lower ascending upward trend started in late November 2011). Near the peaks of 2011 and 1350 line key points, the operators decided to take a break these days. We will monitor the output of the 1290/1350 range, a break of 1290 should lead to consolidation points in the direction of 1265 points. On the upside, the crossing points of 1350/1360 would open the way to 1400 points.
